The ROSAT satellite (whose data I used in my thesis work) is due to come down this weekend. The link below shows the likely re-entry locations, but it’s very uncertain because 1) the uncontrolled re-entry is +/- 1 day and 2) the orbit is inclined so as the Earth rotates beneath it, the satellite’s shadow sweeps over very diverse areas.
Also interesting to see: there have been 28 satellite re-entries this year so far. It’s a much more common occurrence than I had realized.
The news is reporting a 1-in-2000 chance that some ROSAT debris will hit one of the 7 billion people on Earth. I’m curious how those calculations are made…